Ethio Electric vs Harar Birra analysis


56	ELO	54
-1.3%	Tilt	-3.2%
4510º	General ELO ranking	30089º
12º	Country ELO ranking	26º
ELO win probability

49%

Ethio Electric

24.9%

Draw

26.1%

Harar Birra

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

49%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%

24.9%

Draw

0-0

6.7%

1-1

11.8%

2-2

5.2%

3-3

4-4

0.1%

24.8%

26.1%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ethio Electric

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
31 Oct. 2010	SIB 0 - 0 MEH 50% 25% 26%	55	55	0	0
24 Oct. 2010	MUC 1 - 0 MEH 49% 25% 27%	55	55	0	0
20 May. 2001	KGI 2 - 1 MEH 50% 23% 26%	58	60	2	-3
16 May. 2001	MEH 4 - 1 KGI 31% 25% 45%	56	62	6	+2

Matches

Harar Birra

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
30 Oct. 2010	ETB 1 - 0 HAR 50% 25% 26%	55	55	0	0
24 Oct. 2010	HAR 3 - 1 TRA 49% 25% 27%	55	55	0	0