AFC Edinburgh University vs Hearts II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
78%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
16.8%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.4%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
3º
18º
18º
48
1º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
74 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
71 | 71 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
65 | 65 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
64 | 64 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
61 | 61 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
58 | 58 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
54 | 54 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
51 | 51 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
51 | 51 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
49 | 49 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
48 | 48 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
46 | 46 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 36 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 26 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
16 | 16 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
8 | 8 |
19º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Edinburgh University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
AFC
1 - 4
TRA
5%
12%
83%
|
16 | 49 | 33 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CIV
4 - 0
AFC
86%
10%
4%
|
16 | 41 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
RFC
3 - 1
AFC
93%
6%
2%
|
16 | 56 | 40 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
AFC
1 - 4
BFC
9%
15%
76%
|
17 | 39 | 22 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
AFC
0 - 1
BER
12%
19%
70%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Hearts II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
HOM
2 - 4
STI
38%
21%
40%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
GAL
3 - 3
HOM
27%
21%
53%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
HOM
2 - 3
TRA
18%
21%
62%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
HOM
2 - 3
RFC
10%
17%
74%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
BFC
1 - 1
HOM
48%
21%
31%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |