Eder vs Movera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
37.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
JUA
3 - 1
EDE
74%
15%
11%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
EDE
2 - 3
HIS
39%
22%
40%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
AST
2 - 1
EDE
42%
22%
37%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
EDE
3 - 2
GAR
31%
21%
48%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
MON
6 - 1
EDE
80%
13%
8%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Movera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
MOV
8 - 1
AST
46%
22%
32%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
MOV
0 - 2
GAR
44%
22%
34%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
MON
1 - 0
MOV
83%
11%
6%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
MOV
2 - 2
ESP
47%
22%
31%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
MOV
0 - 5
EBR
16%
18%
66%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -2 |