Ed Javalí-Ñora vs Thader Murcia CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
66.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ed Javalí-Ñora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
EGP
2 - 0
ZAR
78%
15%
7%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
ZAR
3 - 2
COT
23%
23%
54%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
MIN
3 - 0
ZAR
83%
12%
5%
|
9 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
ZAR
1 - 1
YEC
23%
23%
54%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
BUL
7 - 0
ZAR
83%
12%
5%
|
9 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Thader Murcia CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
THA
1 - 1
PIN
34%
25%
41%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
EGP
1 - 0
THA
36%
25%
39%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
THA
1 - 1
GUA
78%
14%
7%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
COT
1 - 4
THA
31%
25%
45%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
THA
5 - 0
CIE
58%
22%
21%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |