EDMF Churra vs Minerva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
19.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EDMF Churra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
UCA
1 - 0
CHU
30%
24%
46%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
CHU
0 - 0
LOR
12%
23%
65%
|
30 | 54 | 24 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
CHU
2 - 1
LAU
68%
19%
13%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
CIE
3 - 0
CHU
17%
21%
61%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | -3 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
CHU
0 - 1
MAR
50%
24%
27%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Minerva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
MIN
1 - 0
NUE
58%
22%
20%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
YEC
2 - 0
MIN
81%
12%
7%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
OLI
0 - 1
MIN
59%
20%
21%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
MIN
0 - 2
MIN
60%
22%
19%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
CFC
0 - 0
MIN
46%
24%
31%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |