EDMF Churra vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
58.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EDMF Churra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
MIN
2 - 1
CHU
42%
24%
34%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
CHU
1 - 3
UCA
46%
26%
29%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
OLI
2 - 0
CHU
31%
23%
46%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
MAZ
4 - 2
CHU
18%
22%
61%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
CHU
2 - 1
LOR
10%
22%
68%
|
29 | 52 | 23 | +2 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
LOR
2 - 2
EGP
81%
13%
7%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 2
LOR
21%
24%
54%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
LOR
3 - 0
PLU
86%
10%
4%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
LOR
6 - 3
MUL
84%
11%
5%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
LOR
2 - 0
AGU
70%
18%
13%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |