Ed Churra vs Muleño Cf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
65.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ed Churra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CDL
3 - 0
EDC
70%
18%
13%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
EDC
1 - 2
CFC
33%
24%
44%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 0
EDC
84%
11%
5%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Muleño Cf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
MUL
0 - 3
ADG
67%
18%
15%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CFS
0 - 3
MUL
45%
23%
33%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
MUL
1 - 2
LAU
20%
22%
58%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |