Ed Churra vs Balsicas Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
66.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ed Churra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
EFA
2 - 0
EDC
87%
10%
4%
|
7 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
ALC
5 - 1
EDC
68%
18%
15%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
EDC
1 - 3
ADG
40%
24%
36%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
CFS
3 - 0
EDC
85%
11%
5%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
EDC
0 - 2
LAU
11%
18%
71%
|
10 | 28 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Balsicas Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
BAL
5 - 0
ADG
66%
19%
15%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
CFS
3 - 2
BAL
56%
21%
23%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
BAL
0 - 3
LAU
19%
22%
59%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
MON
1 - 2
BAL
36%
24%
41%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
BAL
0 - 0
CIU
42%
24%
35%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |