Ed Churra vs Alcantarilla Thader analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
32.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ed Churra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
ADG
1 - 0
EDC
78%
14%
8%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
EDC
0 - 3
CFS
22%
22%
56%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
LAU
4 - 1
EDC
84%
11%
5%
|
10 | 33 | 23 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
EDC
2 - 2
MON
22%
22%
56%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
CIU
1 - 1
EDC
85%
10%
4%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Alcantarilla Thader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
ALC
3 - 2
CDL
20%
22%
58%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
ADG
2 - 0
ALC
80%
13%
7%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ALC
0 - 2
CFC
18%
21%
61%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CFS
6 - 0
ALC
82%
11%
6%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ALC
0 - 6
CAR
12%
20%
68%
|
9 | 24 | 15 | 0 |