ECUS vs Mauaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
57.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+156%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ECUS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MAN
0 - 2
ECU
67%
18%
15%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
JAB
3 - 0
ECU
59%
22%
19%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
ECU
0 - 4
MFC
17%
19%
64%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
NAC
0 - 0
ECU
73%
16%
11%
|
11 | 43 | 32 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
ECU
0 - 1
BAR
24%
21%
56%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Mauaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MAU
3 - 0
UNI
48%
24%
28%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
MAU
0 - 2
KAR
4%
12%
84%
|
23 | 64 | 41 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
MAU
0 - 1
NAS
7%
18%
76%
|
23 | 66 | 43 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
ECN
2 - 1
MAU
75%
16%
9%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
MAU
2 - 0
UNI
23%
24%
53%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | +3 |