ECUS vs Mauá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
39.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+214%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ECUS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ECU
4 - 0
MAN
41%
22%
38%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
BEB
1 - 1
ECU
60%
21%
19%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
ECU
1 - 2
PAU
25%
22%
54%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
PAU
1 - 1
ECU
70%
17%
13%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
MOG
0 - 1
ECU
33%
21%
46%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mauá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
MFC
2 - 1
MAN
50%
25%
26%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
MFC
0 - 1
FLA
25%
26%
50%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
TAN
2 - 0
MFC
35%
26%
39%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
TUP
2 - 0
MFC
45%
25%
30%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
MFC
2 - 2
TUP
37%
26%
37%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |