ECUS vs Mauá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
71.1%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ECUS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2022 |
JAB
3 - 0
ECU
65%
20%
15%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
MAU
1 - 0
ECU
76%
15%
9%
|
11 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
ECU
1 - 7
OSA
12%
16%
72%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
ECU
2 - 2
COL
16%
18%
66%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
MFC
3 - 1
ECU
71%
18%
11%
|
12 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Mauá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2022 |
MFC
1 - 2
COL
61%
21%
18%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
OSA
0 - 1
MFC
31%
23%
46%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
MFC
0 - 0
JAB
59%
22%
20%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
MAU
1 - 2
MFC
36%
23%
42%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
MFC
3 - 1
ECU
71%
18%
11%
|
33 | 12 | 21 | 0 |