ECUS vs Mauá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
69.6%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.8%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+246%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ECUS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 2
ECU
75%
16%
10%
|
10 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
USA
6 - 0
ECU
81%
12%
7%
|
10 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
ECU
3 - 1
MOG
49%
21%
29%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
ECU
0 - 2
UNI
12%
16%
73%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
MFC
1 - 1
ECU
75%
16%
10%
|
9 | 36 | 27 | +1 |
Matches
Mauá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
USA
1 - 0
MFC
30%
22%
48%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
MFC
1 - 0
UNI
62%
20%
18%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 1
MFC
30%
23%
48%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
MOG
0 - 9
MFC
13%
17%
70%
|
36 | 7 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
MFC
1 - 1
ECU
75%
16%
10%
|
36 | 9 | 27 | 0 |