ECUS vs Manthiqueira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
32.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+159%
-54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ECUS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
MAU
1 - 0
ECU
43%
23%
34%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
ECU
1 - 0
UNI
47%
22%
31%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
MFC
0 - 1
ECU
44%
24%
32%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
MAN
0 - 1
ECU
36%
23%
42%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
ECU
0 - 0
MAU
36%
23%
41%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Manthiqueira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
MAN
1 - 0
MAU
27%
25%
48%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
UNI
1 - 2
MAN
50%
23%
27%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
MAN
1 - 3
MFC
27%
26%
47%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
MAN
0 - 1
ECU
36%
23%
42%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
MAU
4 - 0
MAN
54%
23%
23%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |