ECUS vs Manthiqueira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
37.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+235%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ECUS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
BEB
1 - 1
ECU
60%
21%
19%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
ECU
1 - 2
PAU
25%
22%
54%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
PAU
1 - 1
ECU
70%
17%
13%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
MOG
0 - 1
ECU
33%
21%
46%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
ECU
0 - 2
MFC
32%
23%
46%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Manthiqueira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
MAN
0 - 3
PAU
20%
24%
56%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
BEB
3 - 2
MAN
63%
21%
16%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 3
BEB
26%
25%
50%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
MAN
4 - 2
MAU
33%
26%
41%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 2
MAN
41%
24%
35%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |