ECUS vs Manthiqueira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
45.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+188%
-57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ECUS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
ECU
2 - 0
MOG
46%
21%
33%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
MFC
0 - 0
ECU
56%
22%
22%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
UNI
0 - 1
ECU
57%
20%
23%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ECU
2 - 1
MAU
22%
21%
57%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MAN
0 - 2
ECU
67%
18%
15%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Manthiqueira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
MAU
5 - 1
MAN
54%
23%
23%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 2
UNI
47%
24%
29%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 0
MOG
64%
20%
16%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MFC
3 - 1
MAN
45%
24%
31%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MAN
0 - 2
ECU
67%
18%
15%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | -1 |