ECUS vs Manthiqueira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
71.7%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+246%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ECUS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
ECU
0 - 3
USA
10%
15%
75%
|
10 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
MOG
0 - 1
ECU
42%
21%
37%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
MAU
14 - 2
ECU
80%
13%
6%
|
10 | 26 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
ECU
0 - 6
USA
13%
18%
69%
|
10 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
POR
3 - 0
ECU
76%
16%
8%
|
10 | 36 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Manthiqueira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
MAN
2 - 0
MOG
78%
14%
8%
|
29 | 7 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
MFC
2 - 1
MAN
49%
23%
28%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
SAO
4 - 0
MAN
70%
18%
12%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
MAN
1 - 2
SAO
25%
23%
52%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
MAN
3 - 2
AAI
36%
24%
40%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +2 |