ECUS vs Manthiqueira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
64.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+246%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ECUS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
NAC
9 - 1
ECU
80%
13%
7%
|
12 | 40 | 28 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
ECU
0 - 3
TAB
17%
21%
62%
|
13 | 33 | 20 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
USA
3 - 0
ECU
76%
15%
9%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
ECU
2 - 3
GUA
29%
23%
48%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2014 |
ADG
3 - 1
ECU
50%
23%
27%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Manthiqueira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ATI
1 - 0
MAN
71%
17%
12%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
MAN
0 - 0
PRI
22%
24%
55%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SUM
1 - 1
MAN
25%
23%
53%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
MAN
2 - 1
SUM
63%
20%
17%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
PRI
2 - 0
MAN
68%
19%
13%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | -1 |