ECUS vs Manthiqueira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
60.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+235%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ECUS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
USA
2 - 0
ECU
77%
15%
9%
|
11 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
JAC
2 - 2
ECU
47%
23%
30%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
ECU
0 - 0
UNI
33%
23%
44%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
ECU
1 - 1
MOG
50%
23%
28%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
MAN
0 - 2
ECU
79%
14%
7%
|
9 | 26 | 17 | +2 |
Matches
Manthiqueira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 0
MOG
78%
15%
8%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 1
MAN
27%
22%
50%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 3
USA
48%
23%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
JAC
1 - 1
MAN
16%
20%
64%
|
25 | 9 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
MAN
0 - 2
ECU
79%
14%
7%
|
26 | 9 | 17 | -1 |