ECUS vs Guarulhos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
37.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+308%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ECUS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
GUA
0 - 2
ECU
46%
23%
32%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
ECU
1 - 0
MFC
38%
23%
39%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
BAT
3 - 1
ECU
48%
23%
29%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
ECU
2 - 1
MAN
46%
22%
33%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
MAU
1 - 0
ECU
43%
23%
34%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Guarulhos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
GUA
0 - 2
ECU
46%
23%
32%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
GUA
0 - 3
BAT
40%
24%
36%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
MFC
1 - 2
GUA
38%
25%
36%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
FLA
0 - 0
GUA
54%
23%
23%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
GUA
1 - 4
IND
37%
26%
37%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |