Ecuador U20 vs Colombia U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
60.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2017 |
ECU
0 - 1
BRA
9%
19%
72%
|
53 | 83 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
ECU
0 - 2
CHI
16%
21%
63%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
ECU
0 - 1
CHI
17%
21%
62%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
URU
2 - 0
ECU
71%
19%
11%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
CHI
3 - 0
ECU
63%
21%
15%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Colombia U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
COL
1 - 1
PAR
50%
23%
27%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
PER
0 - 2
COL
22%
24%
54%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
PAR
0 - 1
COL
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
VEN
1 - 0
COL
18%
22%
61%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2015 |
USA
1 - 0
COL
20%
24%
56%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | -1 |