Ecuador U20 vs China U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
52.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2014 |
ECU
2 - 2
PER
42%
25%
33%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2014 |
PER
3 - 0
ECU
41%
25%
33%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2013 |
URU
1 - 0
ECU
73%
17%
10%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
PER
3 - 2
ECU
32%
25%
43%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 0
ECU
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
China U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
FRA
0 - 0
CHN
43%
23%
34%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
POR
2 - 2
CHN
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2010 |
POR
1 - 2
CHN
65%
20%
15%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
CHN
2 - 1
NED
41%
24%
35%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2005 |
CHN
2 - 3
GER
39%
24%
37%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |