Ecuador U20 vs Chile U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
36.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
ECU
2 - 4
PAR
42%
25%
34%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
BRA
4 - 1
ECU
72%
18%
10%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
URU
1 - 1
ECU
57%
23%
21%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2019 |
ITA
0 - 1
ECU
38%
25%
37%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2019 |
ECU
0 - 1
KOR
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Chile U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
URU
2 - 0
CHI
52%
24%
24%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
CHI
3 - 2
BRA
24%
24%
52%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
CHI
3 - 0
BRA
21%
24%
56%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
CHI
0 - 1
MAR
63%
20%
17%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
AUS
1 - 3
CHI
17%
19%
64%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |