Ecuador U20 vs Argentina U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
64%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
ECU
2 - 3
BRA
14%
21%
65%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
COL
1 - 0
ECU
65%
20%
16%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
BOL
1 - 2
ECU
18%
22%
60%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
PER
2 - 2
ECU
32%
25%
43%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2024 |
PER
0 - 0
ECU
33%
25%
43%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2025 |
ARG
1 - 0
BOL
77%
16%
7%
|
79 | 46 | 33 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2025 |
ARG
1 - 1
COL
53%
25%
23%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
BRA
0 - 6
ARG
53%
23%
25%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
CHI
1 - 3
ARG
23%
23%
55%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
CHI
2 - 3
ARG
24%
23%
53%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |