Ecosem vs Nacional FBC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
13.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecosem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ECO
5 - 1
VRA
69%
17%
14%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
VRA
2 - 0
ECO
12%
16%
73%
|
28 | 11 | 17 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CFC
1 - 1
ECO
4%
14%
81%
|
29 | 10 | 19 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
ECO
6 - 0
ATC
74%
15%
11%
|
28 | 10 | 18 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
STI
0 - 0
ECO
5%
15%
80%
|
29 | 11 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
NAC
3 - 1
EGB
29%
21%
50%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
EGB
2 - 0
NAC
42%
22%
36%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
DET
1 - 2
NAC
18%
22%
61%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
NAC
1 - 0
VAL
6%
13%
82%
|
12 | 70 | 58 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FCA
3 - 1
NAC
39%
25%
36%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |