Ecosem vs Defensor Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.2%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
12.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecosem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
OCH
1 - 0
ECO
12%
16%
73%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
ECO
3 - 1
OCH
74%
16%
11%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
DEC
1 - 2
ECO
12%
16%
72%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ECO
1 - 2
SEM
70%
17%
13%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
ECO
2 - 2
APO
70%
18%
13%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Defensor Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
DEC
0 - 1
CEA
25%
21%
55%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
CEA
1 - 2
DEC
68%
18%
15%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
DEC
1 - 2
ECO
12%
16%
72%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CDV
0 - 0
DEC
45%
22%
34%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |