Eckernförder SV vs VfB Lübeck II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.8%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
14%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-72%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
4º
14º
7º
47
6º
16º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
73 | 73 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
21 | 27 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eckernförder SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ECK
4 - 1
OLD
51%
20%
29%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
OLD
2 - 3
ECK
58%
19%
24%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +2 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
BOR
1 - 5
ECK
37%
22%
41%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ECK
2 - 0
PAN
74%
15%
11%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
UNI
5 - 0
ECK
60%
19%
22%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
VfB Lübeck II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
KIL
8 - 0
LUB
74%
15%
12%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
LUB
4 - 0
FRI
73%
15%
12%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
LUB
1 - 4
EIC
15%
18%
67%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
FRI
1 - 4
LUB
25%
20%
55%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
EIC
3 - 0
LUB
84%
10%
6%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |