Echallens vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.4%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
75.9%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.8%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.9%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Echallens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
MAR
4 - 0
ECH
40%
25%
35%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
LEM
2 - 1
ECH
50%
23%
26%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
ECH
2 - 2
TER
63%
20%
17%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
YOU
3 - 5
ECH
60%
21%
19%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
ECH
7 - 0
NAT
76%
15%
10%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
BAS
0 - 0
ZUR
62%
20%
18%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
ZUR
1 - 0
SIO
43%
28%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
SER
1 - 1
ZUR
31%
25%
45%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
YOB
4 - 1
ZUR
55%
22%
23%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
ZUR
4 - 0
LAU
62%
23%
16%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | +1 |