Echallens vs Naters analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
21%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Echallens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
ECH
2 - 7
BAS
6%
13%
82%
|
41 | 84 | 43 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
FCA
2 - 2
ECH
16%
19%
65%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
ECH
3 - 0
FRI
74%
15%
11%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
ECH
3 - 2
ETO
59%
19%
22%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 3
ECH
52%
21%
27%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Naters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
NAT
1 - 2
FCA
81%
12%
7%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
FRI
0 - 5
NAT
36%
24%
40%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
NAT
1 - 1
MAR
57%
20%
23%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
ETO
0 - 1
NAT
61%
20%
20%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
NAT
2 - 2
YOU
26%
22%
52%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |