Echallens vs Martigny analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.7%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
17.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
7º
6º
26
7º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
87.5% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
84% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
55% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
42.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
42.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
52.5% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
40% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
96% | |
|
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
96% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Echallens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ECH
1 - 2
POR
76%
14%
10%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
VEV
1 - 2
ECH
57%
21%
21%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SER
5 - 0
ECH
77%
14%
9%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ECH
1 - 1
NAT
71%
16%
13%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SOL
3 - 1
ECH
34%
24%
42%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Martigny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
SER
6 - 1
MAR
86%
10%
4%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 1
NAT
59%
20%
21%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
MEY
2 - 1
MAR
68%
17%
15%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 3
FCC
60%
19%
21%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SEC
0 - 3
MAR
51%
22%
27%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +2 |