Echallens vs Fribourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Echallens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
MEY
0 - 1
ECH
71%
17%
12%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
ECH
1 - 1
NAT
64%
20%
16%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
FCM
4 - 5
ECH
47%
24%
30%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
ECH
0 - 1
MAR
56%
22%
21%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
ECH
3 - 2
DUD
43%
24%
34%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Fribourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
FRI
0 - 1
YVE
34%
24%
42%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
BUL
0 - 2
FRI
30%
24%
46%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
FRI
2 - 0
GRA
54%
22%
23%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
SIO
5 - 3
FRI
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
FRI
2 - 1
LEM
31%
25%
45%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +2 |