Echallens vs Concordia Lausanne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.9%
Win probability
3.29
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.1%
4-0
8%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.1%
5.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
7º
6º
27
12º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
87.5% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
84% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
55% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
42.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
42.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
52.5% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
40% | |
|
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
96% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
96% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Echallens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
GRA
3 - 2
ECH
15%
19%
67%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
ECH
2 - 0
SEC
71%
17%
12%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SIO
1 - 1
ECH
20%
22%
58%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
CSC
1 - 1
ECH
27%
23%
50%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ECH
4 - 1
TER
69%
18%
13%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Concordia Lausanne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CON
0 - 3
SER
12%
18%
70%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
NAT
1 - 1
CON
64%
18%
19%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
CON
0 - 1
MEY
21%
19%
60%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
CON
0 - 1
FCC
39%
22%
40%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
CON
2 - 2
FCM
26%
20%
54%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |