XV de Novembro vs União Barbarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
24.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
XV de Novembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
JFC
0 - 1
ECN
14%
18%
68%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2019 |
ECN
0 - 3
CHI
8%
19%
73%
|
38 | 89 | 51 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
ECN
2 - 1
ITA
39%
26%
35%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +2 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
ECN
2 - 0
IND
38%
26%
36%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
BFC
0 - 3
ECN
20%
20%
60%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
União Barbarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
IND
4 - 1
UNI
50%
24%
26%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
UNI
2 - 1
JFC
78%
13%
8%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
RIO
1 - 1
UNI
66%
21%
13%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
UNI
2 - 3
ITA
46%
24%
30%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
BFC
0 - 4
UNI
21%
21%
58%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | +1 |