XV de Novembro vs Santacruzense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+84%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
XV de Novembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
ASS
0 - 1
ECN
21%
26%
54%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
ECN
1 - 1
OSV
61%
22%
17%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
ECN
2 - 1
GRE
56%
24%
21%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
VOC
0 - 1
ECN
38%
27%
35%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 1
ECN
42%
26%
32%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Santacruzense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
GRE
1 - 0
SAN
44%
24%
32%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 0
ASS
55%
24%
21%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
OSV
0 - 2
SAN
37%
26%
38%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 2
VOC
51%
26%
23%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 1
ECN
42%
26%
32%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -2 |