XV de Novembro vs Mogi Mirim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
12.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
XV de Novembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
GDS
1 - 1
ECN
41%
25%
34%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 4
ECN
75%
16%
10%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | +3 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
ECN
3 - 0
SAO
59%
22%
19%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
IND
1 - 2
ECN
50%
25%
24%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
MOG
1 - 3
ECN
35%
25%
39%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
MOG
0 - 0
SAO
47%
24%
30%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
MOG
0 - 2
GDS
24%
21%
55%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
IND
0 - 2
MOG
66%
19%
15%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
MOG
0 - 2
UNI
11%
16%
74%
|
28 | 55 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
MOG
1 - 3
ECN
35%
25%
39%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |