Tangará vs Vila Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
55.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tangará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
TAN
2 - 2
BAR
18%
22%
60%
|
24 | 49 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
BAR
5 - 0
TAN
73%
17%
10%
|
24 | 49 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2008 |
VIL
0 - 0
TAN
76%
15%
8%
|
24 | 52 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
TAN
1 - 2
MIX
16%
22%
62%
|
24 | 55 | 31 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
TAN
1 - 1
SOR
26%
23%
51%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Vila Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
MIX
2 - 2
VIL
59%
22%
20%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
VIL
1 - 0
MIX
38%
25%
37%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2008 |
VIL
0 - 0
TAN
76%
15%
8%
|
52 | 24 | 28 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
BAR
1 - 0
VIL
42%
26%
33%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
VIL
4 - 1
MGR
76%
16%
9%
|
52 | 22 | 30 | 0 |