Tangará vs Luverdense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
63.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tangará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
TAN
0 - 1
MIX
18%
23%
59%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
SOR
2 - 1
TAN
65%
20%
15%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
TAN
1 - 1
SIN
30%
24%
47%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
OPE
4 - 1
TAN
75%
16%
9%
|
25 | 50 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2009 |
LUV
1 - 0
TAN
78%
14%
8%
|
25 | 52 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
LUV
4 - 0
MGR
77%
15%
8%
|
52 | 23 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
LUV
1 - 0
CRA
70%
18%
13%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
SIN
1 - 0
LUV
19%
22%
59%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2009 |
LUV
1 - 0
TAN
78%
14%
8%
|
52 | 25 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
MIX
1 - 3
LUV
51%
23%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |