Super Copa Gaúcha 1/16
Global 2-1
EC São José vs União RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
17.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
ECS
1 - 1
GRE
12%
24%
64%
|
53 | 84 | 31 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
CAX
1 - 0
ECS
41%
27%
32%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
ECS
2 - 2
CRU
40%
28%
32%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
ECS
0 - 1
NOV
35%
29%
37%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
LAJ
1 - 1
ECS
44%
26%
29%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
União RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
VER
2 - 1
URS
63%
21%
15%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
URS
0 - 1
SCI
10%
21%
70%
|
43 | 83 | 40 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
PAS
1 - 1
URS
64%
21%
15%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
ECA
1 - 1
URS
43%
26%
32%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
URS
1 - 1
AIM
32%
27%
42%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +1 |