EC São José vs Lajeadense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
23.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
JUV
2 - 0
ECS
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
ECS
2 - 1
AIM
64%
22%
14%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ECS
1 - 1
SAO
65%
22%
14%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
CAX
3 - 0
ECS
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
SLU
0 - 1
ECS
38%
26%
36%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Lajeadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ESP
2 - 2
LAJ
42%
27%
31%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
LAJ
0 - 1
VER
36%
27%
37%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
LAJ
2 - 0
CRU
45%
27%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2014 |
NOV
2 - 1
LAJ
57%
24%
19%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 1
LAJ
35%
27%
38%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |