EC São José vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.8%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
14.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
26.4%
61.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
21.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0%
-1
29.3%
0-2
15.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
ECS
1 - 2
BRA
24%
26%
50%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
AIM
0 - 1
ECS
43%
27%
31%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
ECS
0 - 1
CAX
41%
28%
31%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
ESP
1 - 0
ECS
40%
26%
35%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
ECS
3 - 1
SAN
61%
23%
17%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
GRE
2 - 0
AIM
85%
11%
4%
|
87 | 54 | 33 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
AYA
1 - 2
GRE
20%
27%
52%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
ESP
0 - 2
GRE
13%
26%
61%
|
87 | 53 | 34 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
GRE
6 - 1
AYA
76%
16%
9%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
PAL
2 - 0
GRE
57%
24%
19%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |