Super Copa Gaúcha Quarter-finals
Global 6-2
EC São José vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.4%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
62.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
19.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.4%
0-2
15%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
ECS
4 - 0
IGR
72%
19%
9%
|
53 | 29 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
IGR
0 - 1
ECS
16%
21%
63%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
URS
1 - 0
ECS
23%
26%
51%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
ECS
2 - 0
URS
59%
24%
17%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
ECS
1 - 1
GRE
12%
24%
64%
|
53 | 84 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
GRE
0 - 0
COT
61%
23%
15%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
GRE
3 - 1
COT
56%
25%
19%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
PPE
0 - 0
GRE
35%
29%
37%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
AIM
0 - 2
GRE
10%
22%
67%
|
85 | 48 | 37 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
COT
0 - 1
GRE
39%
29%
33%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | +1 |