EC São José vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
56.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
ECS
2 - 6
SCI
8%
19%
74%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
CAX
3 - 2
ECS
47%
23%
30%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
ECS
1 - 0
NOV
61%
21%
18%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
NOV
1 - 0
ECS
30%
24%
46%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2006 |
ECS
1 - 1
CAX
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
FOR
1 - 0
GRE
40%
26%
35%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
GRE
3 - 0
FLA
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
GRE
3 - 1
SAN
66%
21%
13%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
ATP
2 - 3
GRE
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2006 |
JUV
1 - 2
GRE
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |