EC São José vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
40.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CAC
0 - 1
ECS
18%
22%
60%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
CRU
4 - 1
ECS
28%
24%
48%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -2 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ECS
3 - 0
ECA
66%
19%
15%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
ECS
3 - 0
VER
51%
23%
26%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
NOV
3 - 1
ECS
42%
25%
33%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CAX
3 - 1
JUV
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
CAX
1 - 1
SAN
72%
18%
10%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
SLU
0 - 1
CAX
23%
23%
54%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
LAJ
0 - 2
CAX
17%
22%
61%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CAX
2 - 0
YPI
67%
20%
14%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |