EC São José vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
44.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
ECS
0 - 1
SCI
12%
21%
67%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
SLU
1 - 1
ECS
31%
24%
45%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ECS
2 - 2
NOV
49%
25%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
LAJ
2 - 0
ECS
21%
23%
57%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
PAU
3 - 0
ECS
43%
25%
32%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
CAX
4 - 3
CAN
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
LAJ
0 - 0
CAX
15%
22%
63%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
CAX
3 - 3
SCI
21%
25%
53%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
GRE
2 - 2
CAX
81%
13%
6%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
CAX
1 - 1
ECS
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |