EC São José vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
23.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
SCI
4 - 1
ECS
88%
9%
3%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
ECS
0 - 1
BRA
33%
26%
41%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
JUV
2 - 2
ECS
74%
17%
9%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
ECS
1 - 0
NOV
65%
20%
16%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
ECS
1 - 1
GLO
63%
21%
17%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
CAX
3 - 2
NOV
66%
19%
15%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
CAX
1 - 0
NOV
47%
23%
30%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
PAS
1 - 2
CAX
37%
25%
38%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
CAX
1 - 0
CAN
61%
20%
19%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
GAU
0 - 1
CAX
19%
23%
59%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | 0 |