São José B vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
63.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São José B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2019 |
SJO
1 - 0
ECA
14%
20%
66%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2019 |
GRE
0 - 2
SJO
65%
18%
17%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
ECA
0 - 1
CAX
32%
27%
42%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
CAX
2 - 1
GRE
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
CAX
4 - 2
LAJ
67%
21%
12%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
MAN
3 - 0
CAX
23%
28%
49%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | -3 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
CAX
1 - 0
MAN
68%
21%
12%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |