EC São Bernardo vs Portuguesa Santista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
47.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC São Bernardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 0
BER
61%
22%
16%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
POR
1 - 0
BER
69%
21%
10%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
BER
1 - 2
SAN
28%
25%
48%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 0
BER
39%
27%
35%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
POR
2 - 1
BER
57%
23%
19%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa Santista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
POR
1 - 0
POR
24%
25%
51%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 0
POR
38%
28%
34%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
POR
1 - 0
SAO
57%
23%
20%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
SAO
3 - 2
POR
39%
27%
34%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
POR
2 - 1
BER
57%
23%
19%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |