Paulista B Final Stages Final
Global 2-3
EC São Bernardo vs Manthiqueira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
22.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC São Bernardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
BER
1 - 1
OSA
53%
21%
26%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
OSA
0 - 3
BER
44%
23%
33%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
BER
1 - 0
CAT
49%
22%
29%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
CAT
1 - 0
BER
40%
23%
37%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
BER
4 - 1
FRA
51%
21%
28%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Manthiqueira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
MAN
3 - 1
UNI
39%
23%
38%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
UNI
0 - 0
MAN
51%
21%
28%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
MAN
1 - 0
OSV
35%
22%
42%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
OSV
1 - 0
MAN
43%
23%
34%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
MAN
1 - 0
JOS
55%
21%
24%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |