EC São Bernardo vs Audax São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
20.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC São Bernardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
BER
1 - 0
BAN
55%
23%
22%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 0
BER
33%
26%
42%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
BER
2 - 1
DES
43%
26%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
BER
1 - 0
VOT
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 0
BER
33%
25%
42%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Audax São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
AUD
1 - 0
GRE
35%
26%
39%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
USA
2 - 0
AUD
40%
25%
36%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
AUD
1 - 0
MAT
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 0
AUD
63%
21%
15%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
AUD
0 - 1
RBB
33%
26%
41%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |