Catarinense 1 Final Stages Quarter-finals
Global 1-3
EC Próspera vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
80%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.5%
0-3
11.9%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.3%
0-4
7.7%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.4%
0-5
4%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC Próspera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
BRU
3 - 1
ECP
73%
16%
11%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
ECP
1 - 0
FFL
12%
18%
70%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
CHA
3 - 1
ECP
75%
18%
7%
|
45 | 77 | 32 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
ECP
0 - 0
JUV
30%
24%
46%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
CRI
0 - 1
ECP
70%
18%
13%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
CRI
0 - 1
AVA
24%
25%
51%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
AVA
2 - 0
HER
79%
15%
6%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
AVA
2 - 0
CAS
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
AVA
0 - 0
CAC
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
AVA
1 - 0
JEC
74%
17%
9%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |